Why I will not vote for Noynoy Aquino? It is not because he is from Liberal Party. (for the record I voted for Jovy Salonga when he run for president under the Liberal party, even if I am certain that he will not win, because I think he is the most qualified candidate then); It is not because he represents the perpetuation of political dynasty, that even the less qualified runs because they have the political capital and the name recall to capitalize on, (because I also voted for Tanada ); It is not because he is the epitome of traditional politics, even when they are mouthing change, for the real alternative politics is offered not by the dominant party, (but by the likes of Nicanor Perlas or Ang Kapatiran) It is not because I abhore those people that surrounds him like Abad and Drilon who have their share of power with past and present administrations but have done so little to improve the lives of their people (even in Batanes or Iloilo, puro lang tikal waay man nahimo), because I still hope with the likes of Acosta. It is not because he is the personification of another elite proclaiming to continue the fight for the poor, because Noynoy is a full blown elite, blue and blue; because I think Mar Roxas even if he is as elite as Noynoy, still evokes positive vibes. My reasons are not so complicated. I think Noynoy will not stand a chance against manipulators that surrounds him. His honesty will be no match to the flatterers and whisperers, whose only interest are to collar big contracts from the government. His utterances with regards to the structure and system of government, is not even motherhood statements eloquently articulated. I believe that base on the personality that advices him, the Philippines will have the same banana if ever by mistake he becomes the next president of this belleguered country. My reasons are simple. I do not want another Cory in the making. I do not want a repeat of the Josip Istrada mestik. One of my reasons; I want a candidate that would offer a new chance base on a fresh ideas, not base on criticism about the failure of other people. Every administration have been pictured as the evil and criticism is no longer contributing a bit to national progress. I am looking for real leaders and good managers. And Noynoy don’t exhibit the leadership traits that I am looking for, and he have nothing to show of with regards to management skills. My reasons are simple. There are other candidates who have the better qualification in Teodoro and Villar, Gordon, then why should I settle for the less qualified candidate?
Why I will not vote for Noynoy Aquino?
Posted in Uncategorized
Preparing for another Battle
No I am not referring to war like in Afghnistan, or the battle against evil launched by the americans. It is my effort to regain a semblance of mental youthfulness which should be reflected in my chess tournaments.
Last December I participated in another club tournament, and the result is quite encouraging. Next month though, it will be an open tournament where almost all the top dogs in the southern part of the country is expected to participate.
Since I haven’t made up my mind regarding my opening repertoire, my preparation for this tournament is focus on review of noteworthy games. I basically go online for review materials. Maybe for my opening prep, I should do some along the e4 opening lines. With black; if my opponents opens with e4, my reply would be Petroff. If d4, then Nf6.
For the next two weeks I have to concentrate on these aspects, because I also have some task which needs to be accomplished. Writing will have to have a three weeks vacation.
Posted in Uncategorized
First Day of 2010
As wise people often say; start the day right and everything will fall into its proper place.
Last year have been good to me, and mentally, I feel I won my battle against athrophy and economically, too, 2009 is not difficult.
Against athrophy.
I started playing chess again last February, and the result is good. Last week, I played in my third tournament, and I played relatively well. I lost a few games to the champion and the first runner up. But it is a good game against a player with a rating above 2000. I almost won the game which is indicative of my progress.
I am writing again, and I can feel the urge to write now. The writers blood is again flowing, and I can already see a lot of things to write about. 2010 is a political year, and I like to comment about politics, so this must be a good year to write, criticise and made social and political commentaries.
At the domestic site; the needs seem to be meet easier than the economic problem of 2009 seem to suggest. I made quite significant economic gains, and I think 2010 will bring even better harvest.
Happy New year to all.
Posted in Uncategorized
Disarmament
With the recent discovery of the Ampatuan weapons arsenal, wouldn’t it rational for the government to also disarm other warlords and big politicians who arm themselves to teeth? If we are awed by the enormity of the guns seized from the Ampatuan’s, we can expect similar weapons from other warlords. Many big names in Mindanao, not only politicians have armories. The military knows about it. If you are a big farmer, and you have a farm near Maguindanao, your business will not survive if you will not arm your people. That’s a fact.
One of the most contentious issue regarding in the peacetalks is the proliferation of arm in Mindanao, and not one personality pointed out that for peace to be have in this land of promise is for these firearms be surrendered. The disarmament of the Ampatuans is a big boost towards the attainment of peace in Maguindanao, ARMM, and Mindanao as a whole. But the MILF, too, the NPA’s have guns, so are the MNLF, former MNLF commanders who turned politicians, even the Mangudadato’s. The Pinols, Cagas, del Rosarios, Sema, Tans, Talino, etc. The list would go up north of the Philippines.
The Ampatuans is just the tip of the iceberg. There are more. The government have shown the capacity to disarm, so why limit disarmament with the Ampatuan’s? Disarm Kato, Brabo and their cohorts. The government can do it, they have shown the capacity to do it.
Posted in Uncategorized
Pacquiao VS Mayweather
When Pacman fought Hatton I never bothered to make any prediction because I thought Hatton is easy to hit.
When Pacman fought Cotto, I did not lift my finger, for a prediction not necessarily because I find the fight evenly match that it make prediction a very tough task, but simply because I was just not motivated enough to react.
I made my prediction though when Pacman fought Dela Hoya because of the size and wieght disparity. Although I hope that Manny would win in that fight, I was having second thought about that because I don’t have any bases to predict a victory since it was the first time that Pacquiao is fighting a boxer as good and as big as Dela Hoya. The result of the fight went almost as I predicted it. (I have it posted somewhere here).
Now that Pacquiao-Mayweather is almost certain to happen, I find my self on the edge, and I can’t help but make my prediction. This only shows how the Pacman have methamophose into somebody that can not simply be ignored, but also it shows how irritatingly attractive Mayweather is. I may hate him for his trash behavior, or I may like him for his boxing skills, but the result is thesame, I react whenever he fights.
So how do I foresee the result of the fight? A win for Pacquiao, of course. People may not believe me, but Nostradamus whispered that Pacquiao will knockout Mayweather in the seventh round. That is my prediction which is not exactly although similar with my wish.
My wish is for Pacquiao to knockout Mayweather in the seventh round or less, and the punch that would prove my friend Nostradamus right, would be a left straight to the mouth of Mayweather.
How would the fight progress; In the first round, Mayweather will naturally run, and Pacquiao will try to catch him but very cautiosly. The first round will be feeling out round.
Second round; Mayweather will again be on defensive trying to counter Pacquiao, who is trying to be more agressive. The Mayweather jabs will be very effective, and Pacman will realize that aggressiveness is not enough to win against a defensive fighter of the Mayweather caliber.
Third round will be similar with the second round, but this time Pacman is able to close the distance, though Mayweather is still very ellusive. However, Manny could occationally hit Mayweather, and sometimes Floyd could trap in the ropes.
In the fourt round; Pacman will hit Mayweather with some strong left, but would not hurt him. Mayweather on the other hand will counter Pacquiao, and would stun him occassionally. It would become obvious though that Floyd’s power is not as strong as Cotto’s. And Manny will be more assertive.
In the fifth round, Manny will hit Mayweather with a right hook in the head, and a folloup left will floor Mayweather. After the mandatory eight count, Mayweather will survive by running away.
The sixth will be survival round for Mayweather, but Pacquiao will still hit him from time to time. But at the end of sixth round, it is clear that it is a matter of time for Pacquiao to finally put a D on Mayweather’s ledger.
By the seventh round, Floyd Mayweather Sr. will finally see his son on the mat.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tags: Manny Pacquiao, Mayweather, Mayweather vs Pacquiao, Pacman, Pacquiao
Presidential Debates
Last night and the night before I was watching presidential debates that attended by serious presidential contenders. Two opposing media networks organized the said debates which many voters and observers viewed as a chance to know the presidential contenders better.
However, it is unfortunate that our multi party system limits the effectivity of the debate. Rebuttal is difficult to effect because of the numbers of speakers, and the time limitation limits the exhaustive discussion on specific and important matter. Although it offers them the opportunity to showcase their stand, knowledge and understanding of certain issues, I can not help to think if the candidates indeed are discussing issues, or they are simply selling canned goods.
Most of them are essaying motherhood statements, apparently rehearsed, and most do not respond directly to questions asked. Maybe it is because they are not listening or that they have memorized their lines so much that even if it does not relate to the question, they tend to answer partially the question and eventually sway away to canned speech.
One of the most interesting remarks are made regarding reproductive health. Presidential candidate are having a hardtime navigating the answer. I do understand that the presene of priests and nuns in the audience are puting too much pressnre on them, but I expect them to have a firm stand on the issue, which most of them don’t have. Those who already made their stand in earlier interviews, seem to forget what they told us. They are flip flopping.
It only shows how formidable is the catholic church in determining the outcome of election. And this is not only true in national election but equally true in local elections. Fortunately, the Iglesia Ni Cristo does not meddle too much in this regard. It is obvious that politicians are not yet ready to crossed sword with their priest.
Which only tells us of two things. One is that this politicians, although most are corrupt, are still afraid that their souls would go to hell (an idea that most politicians would normally reply; “to hell with that idea”). The most acceptable explaination though, is that these politicians are just pragmatic, and they know that their priest holds the key to the elective position.
So with the way the catholic church are flexing its muscle, and the way most presidential and local candidates are behaving, we could expect population explosion in the next few years to come. If today we are already inundated by the effects of climate change, soon the effects of over population will drown us to death.
Posted in Education, Health, Politics, culture, election | Tags: Election 2010, Presidential Debates, Presidential Election
Why I will not vote for Noynoy Aquino!
Why I will not vote for Noynoy Aquino?
It is not because he is from Liberal Party. (for the record I voted for Jovy Salonga when he run for president under the Liberal party, even if I am certain that he will not win, because I think he is the most qualified candidate then);
It is not because he represents the perpetuation of political dynasty, that even the less qualified runs because they have the political capital and the name recall to capitalize on, (because I also voted for Tanada );
It is not because he is the epitome of traditional politics, even when they are mouthing change, for the real alternative politics is offered not by the dominant party, (but by the likes of Nicanor Perlas or Ang Kapatiran)
It is not because I abhore those people that surrounds him like Abad and Drilon who have their share of power with past and present administrations but have done so little to improve the lives of their people (even in Batanes or Iloilo, puro lang tikal waay man nahimo), because I still hope with the likes of Acosta.
It is not because he is the personification of another elite proclaiming to continue the fight for the poor, because Noynoy is a full blown elite, blue and blue; because I think Mar Roxas even if he is as elite as Noynoy, still evokes positive vibes.
My reasons are not so complicated. I think Noynoy will not stand a chance against manipulators that surrounds him. His honesty will be no match to the flatterers and whisperers, whose only interest are to collar big contracts from the government.
His utterances with regards to the structure and system of government, is not even motherhood statements eloquently articulated. I believe that base on the personality that advices him, the Philippines will have the same banana if ever by mistake he becomes the next president of this belleguered country.
My reasons are simple. I do not want another Cory in the making. I do not want a repeat of the Josip Istrada mestik.
One of my reasons; I want a candidate that would offer a new chance base on a fresh ideas, not base on criticism about the failure of other people. Every administration have been pictured as the evil and criticism is no longer contributing a bit to national progress.
I am looking for real leaders and good managers. And Noynoy don’t exhibit the leadership traits that I am looking for, and he have nothing to show of with regards to management skills.
My reasons are simple. There are two other candidates who have the better qualification in Teodoro and Villar, then why should I settle for the less qualified candidate?
Posted in election | Tags: Election 2010, Mindanao, Noynoy Aquino, Teodoro, Villar
RIDO
After the Maguindanao massacre, what are the expectations of the ordinary people from Mindanao. My instict tell me that there will be vengeance looming somewhere sometime. I and many others expect that to happen, and it will happen, because it could happen.
Am I a bit worried that it could happen? To be very honest, no. Why? because it is not my fight, it is not my battle. Thats the way things are conducted here. Do not dip your fingers on your neighborhs plate. Of course I was shocked by the incident, and I am still trying to understand the complexity of this massacre.
This may a bit too gruesome or barbaric for people in a civilize society, but there are places in this world that have unique and gruesome means to settle grievances. Genearally, the non muslims of course do not adhere to that kind of conflict resolution, but in unique situations, they would also resort to similar resolution, because when in Rome you have to behave how the Romans are behaving. (Are we norturing the culture of violence here, or we are simply doing what is necessary).
Rido is not only a simple clan war for power. It goes with it the traditional vendetta that is passed on from one generation to another. One reason why guns are very important in the cultural context of the muslims. One reason why I can not and should not participate in their fights, because it is their fight that may go on till the bad blood is thinly washed by time. The real meaning of rido is already mangled beyond recognition. It is far from settling disputes, but closer to vengeance. It is the traditional practice of pinnance, of paying blood for blood debt.
The Maguindanao massacre however, is not simple rido, it is political power played to its brutal end. This is the result when man is so drunk with power and he has guns to imposed his will. This is the result when the government institutions are weak. This is the result when government policies and stuctures are not congruent to the local needs.
I would like to end this article with a comment from a Sinsuat whom I have some conversation way back, we were talking about local politics and governance, he said; “the local politicians today are luckier compared to their counterparts in the past because today elected local politicians have honorariom and IRA.”
Posted in Uncategorized | Tags: maguindanao massacre
The New Kings
In the royalty lineage of the mindanao’s moro group, the Ampatuans and Mangudadatos are the new Kings of the Sultanate of Maguindanao and Rajah sa Buayan.
Who are these people before they become what they are today? Today these people who in the 70’s could hardly make the ends meet live in mansions and palaces. Visit their places if you would like to see it for your selves, or even visit Davao City and see how palatial their homes are.
The recent massacre have once again added another blackeye to the already bruised image of Mindanao. This is a war for their kingdom, and the losers are the people and Mindanao as a whole. Another step backwards.
Many people who do not understand Muslim Mindanao are wont to suggest the barbarism of these people, and the inutility of this government and the past governments to control warlordism. But to be very simplistic about this incident, this is an event that could happen because the culture and the environment is encouraging it to happen. Warlordism is not unique to Mindanao. This is the same problem that beset Pakistan, Afghanistan, etc.
Most in the media are wondering why the government is helpless in addressing this problem? Loose firearms is viewed as one of the culprit, and why the is the government allowing this proliferation of these deadly arms is a question that is high on the list. People who are viewing this problem along the lenses of different cultures will never understand the difficulty of controlling these armed men. If american soldiers who were heavily armed with the most sophisticated and trained according to the latest warfare techniques could not subdue a loose group like the Abu Sayaf whose number is between 100 to 200, how can we expect the PNP to handle the armed groups of these local warlords whose number would equal those of the MILF.
I hope the people in mainstream media, the government and other private sector will try to see this problem in the right context. Not in the context of what manila would like to live, but according to our different cultures and practices.
Posted in culture | Tags: Ampatuan/Mangudadato, Election 2010, Mindanao Conflict, Mindanaoan Struggle, muslim mindanao
Deconstructing Manny
This article is just fantastic, as Pacquaio’s win. I’d like to share it with you. There are just too many relevant reverences.
DECONSTRUCTING MANNY
By Springs Toledo
Manny Pacquiao: I’m just [an] ordinary fighter…
Freddie Roach (interrupting): –You’re not ordinary.
Manny Pacquiao: Sorry about that, master.
“He finds gaps,” said Emanuel Steward after Manny Pacquiao stopped Miguel Cotto in the twelfth round. Those three words mirror the words of a far older, far more legendary war tactician: Sun Tzu. “Strike at their gaps,” The Art of War asserted two thousand years ago, “attack when they are lax, don’t let the enemy figure out how to prepare.” The second knockdown of Cotto illustrated this theory. Cotto, a conventional boxer-puncher, was hit in the fourth round by an uppercut from the left side that went inside and underneath his guard, exploding off the side of his chin. Pacquiao found a gap, capitalized on the momentary carelessness of an onrushing opponent, and spent the rest of the fight exploding every potential solution Cotto thought he had.
“When you are going to attack nearby make it look as if you are going to go a long way,” Sun Tzu said, “when you are going to attack far away, make it look as if you are going just a short distance.” Pacquiao seems to be moving out when he’s coming in and coming in when he’s moving out. He exploits expectations with illusions. He “draws them in” and then “takes them by confusion.” Trainer Freddie Roach, himself a former professional boxer, agrees that Pacquiao is “very hard to read.” Pacquiao continues punching when his opponent expects a pause, his angles are bizarre, and he is often not where he is expected to be after a combination. Due to such unorthodoxies, this southpaw is a master of destroying the timing and rhythm of a conventional fighter. He is similar to Joe Calzaghe in that regard. Mikkel Kessler said that Calzaghe “ruins your boxing.” Indeed, Pacquiao does worse than that.
While a disruptive boxer like Calzaghe spills ink all over your blueprint and laughs about it, Pacquiao ruins your blueprint, but then adds injury to insult by crashing the drafting table over your head.
THERE’S SOMETHING ABOUT MANNY
Pacquiao has athletic gifts that translate well in the ring: disruptive rhythm, timing, and speed, all financed by shocking power that belies his featherweight frame. As if this weren’t enough, his whiskers safely absorbed the shock of Cotto’s left hooks. He was never hurt, which raises eyebrows. Manny, we must remember, was exchanging punches in a division forty pounds north of the one he began in. And he reveled in it, he invited it, even snarling at times and standing disdainfully in the final stanzas to challenge the manhood of the retreating Puerto Rican. Roberto Duran, 58, watched from the crowd. His coal-black eyes remembering the night he dethroned another welterweight who thought he could outgun a smaller man. Duran watched Pacquiao’s black hair flying with the force of his blows, his beard paying unintentional tribute. A smile, once sinister, betrayed his lips.
Despite the glory heaped on him by a celebrity-starved public and an island nation eager for eminence, Pacquiao is not the flawless fighter that Duran was when he handed Sugar Ray Leonard his first defeat. Pacquiao’s humanity can be sensed if not seen in his nervousness as battle commences. It takes him a round or two to find his rhythm and gauge his distance and timing. Before that happens he is prone to reach in, get off balance in range, and will often leave windows open for counters. After that happens, his opponent, any opponent, is in peril.
He can be controlled, particularly by welterweights, but it will take a trainer and a fighter who are willing to give up conventional strategies and think out of the box. Convention is broken down by revolution, and Manny Pacquiao fights like a revolution.
Alas, even the trainer who recognizes the need for a counter-revolutionary strategy is faced with another problem –the trainer in the other corner:
Freddie Roach. The formidable Freddie Roach.
Roach has Parkinson’s disease, which has burdened him with tremors, slurring, and odd pauses during conversations. Its symptoms can be as disconcerting to conventional conversationalists as Manny Pacquiao’s style is to conventional fighters; but his disability also gives him an aura of alien brilliance like Stephen Hawking.
It has had no effect on his knack for strategy.
Roach did well not to tamper with Pacquiao’s unorthodoxy. He streamlined it and added balance, deliberate feints, angles, defense, and a two-fisted attack. Like Floyd Mayweather Jr., Manny Pacquiao has a foundation in fundamentals. Unlike Mayweather, Pacquiao’s lessons occurred later in his career, while Floyd’s were drilled into him as a small child. Also unlike Mayweather who claims to disdain strategy, Manny enters the ring with a master plan or three. Sun Tzu emphasized this: “Victorious warriors win first and then go to war.” Roach spends hours and days and weeks and months in study. He deconstructs his opponent and finds patterns –“habits” as he calls them, to exploit. Then he teaches Manny to “see it as [he] sees it.”
At times, the eyes of Freddie Roach seem to focus on a higher plane inaccessible to anyone else. Perhaps he communes with the ghost of Eddie Futch. Futch was his mentor, and was among the greatest trainers of the 20th century. Futch sparred with Joe Louis and learned his trade in the company of master boxers like Holman Williams. He was the strategist behind the first defeat of Muhammad Ali by Joe Frazier, the second defeat of Ali by Ken Norton, Riddick Bowe’s defeat of the undefeated Evander Holyfield, and Montell Griffin’s disqualification win over the undefeated Roy Jones. Freddie Roach learned at his knee. Manny Pacquiao learned at Freddie’s.
The most popular boxer in the world today was catapulted into stardom after he defeated Oscar De La Hoya and then Ricky Hatton. Serious boxing fans know the truth. De La Hoya and Hatton were simply two candles on a cake already baked between 2003 and 2008 by great Mexicans from the lower weight divisions: Marco Antonio Barrera, Erik Morales, and Juan Manuel Marquez. These are the men who tried him in fire much like Murderers’ Row tried Archie Moore in the 1940s and Philadelphia tried Marvelous Marvin Hagler in the 1970s. Pacquiao has evolved bloodily into a complete fighter and then some. He is an experienced, natural athlete with power that exponentially rises with weight. He has a style that is as confusing as a hall of mirrors and as difficult to solve as Chinese math. He is a willing student with an expanding set of skills. Behind him stands a trainer with a direct link to Eddie Futch who was a product of boxing’s golden decade and rubbed shoulders with many gods of war. Manny’s pugilistic pedigree summons the gold of yesterday to overcome the iron of today.
HAIL MANNY, FULL OF GRACE
Boxing is a character sport first and a skills sport second. Manny’s character was formed in a background that is ideal for a fighter –a background set in the kind of third world poverty that Americans have not known for seventy years, but a background known to spawn fighters in back alleys amid broken bottles and broken dreams. Manny ran away from home at fourteen to spare his mother one more mouth to feed. He exchanged real poverty for worse poverty –in an act of sacrifice. This fighter has not only suffered, he also understood and embraced self-denial at early adolescence.
The toughest sport in the world is easy for someone like him. Pacquiao has something to fight for as only a poor man can, for self, for family, for country. He has the discipline to do it, and he has the perspective to transcend it. The Sweet Science is meaningful to him; his participation in it is an expression of love and loyalty, of self-actualization. So he approaches battle with joy.
And that isn’t all.
Manny believes that the hand of God himself is on his shoulder. Cynical secularism may scoff at such ancient notions, but irreverence is irrelevant here. Manny believes this –utterly. And it gives him an edge in that he is completely self-possessed and palpably unconcerned with the risks of the ring. He goes not only willingly, but happily. Throughout history, like-minded people have strode confidently into lion’s dens, climbed into kamikaze cockpits, blown themselves up at market places, sang while burning at a stake, and volunteered to die first at Nazi death camps to spare strangers. Pacquiao’s religiosity is that kind of powerful. It is a major reason why he smiles and waves on his way to battle dragons.
Boxing fans take note: his frame of mind was shared by Sugar Ray Robinson and Muhammad Ali.
Emanuel Steward’s assertion that the thirty-year-old welterweight champion, now 50-3-2, belongs “up there” with Ali and Robinson was half-wrong. When Robinson was thirty, he was defeated once in 131 bouts and went on to finish his career with the scalps of eighteen world champions hanging from his belt. Manny isn’t near that. He is a typhoon blowing over structures less sturdy than those built in the golden era of boxing. But remember, he isn’t finished yet.
Like the legends before him, Manny Pacquiao sees himself as a man of destiny… a patriot fighting for a flag, a Christian laughing at lions… Such men are rarely taken down by anything except time and hubris. They are larger than their foes even when they are not.
Such men are larger than themselves.
…..
Springs Toledo can be contacted at scalinatella@hotmail.com.
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